2017年ドル円値幅予測
2017年の値幅はどの程度になるかを考える上で1970年以降のデータを振り返ってみました。通貨の動きや値幅には、それぞれ固有の特性があります、
過去の値幅を知ることは相場を予測する上で大切な道具のひとつになります。
絶対確実はありませんが、最大どこまで落ちるか、上がるかをイメージしておくためのご利用下さい。
|
年
|
始値
|
高値
|
安値
|
終値
|
高値-安値
|
始値-終値
|
始値終値
|
高値-始値
|
安値-始値
|
変動額
|
変動率
|
|
1971
|
357.73
|
358.44
|
322.58
|
322.58
|
35.86
|
-35.15
|
-9.83%
|
0.71
|
-35.15
|
35.15
|
9.83%
|
|
1972
|
314.86
|
314.96
|
294.12
|
301.11
|
20.84
|
-13.75
|
-4.37%
|
0.10
|
-20.74
|
20.74
|
6.59%
|
|
1973
|
301.39
|
302.57
|
254.45
|
280.03
|
48.12
|
-21.36
|
-7.09%
|
1.18
|
-46.94
|
46.94
|
15.57%
|
|
1974
|
280.82
|
305.34
|
274.42
|
300.03
|
30.92
|
19.21
|
6.84%
|
24.52
|
-6.40
|
24.52
|
8.73%
|
|
1975
|
300.66
|
306.84
|
284.66
|
305.90
|
22.18
|
5.24
|
1.74%
|
6.18
|
-16.00
|
16.00
|
5.32%
|
|
1976
|
305.06
|
306.00
|
286.04
|
294.72
|
19.96
|
-10.34
|
-3.39%
|
0.94
|
-19.02
|
19.02
|
6.23%
|
|
1977
|
292.48
|
292.91
|
239.75
|
240.53
|
53.16
|
-51.95
|
-17.76%
|
0.43
|
-52.73
|
52.73
|
18.03%
|
|
1978
|
237.59
|
242.42
|
177.05
|
196.35
|
65.37
|
-41.24
|
-17.36%
|
4.83
|
-60.54
|
60.54
|
25.48%
|
|
1979
|
194.58
|
250.85
|
194.58
|
237.90
|
56.27
|
43.32
|
22.26%
|
56.27
|
0.00
|
56.27
|
28.92%
|
|
1980
|
238.45
|
261.40
|
206.50
|
210.50
|
54.90
|
-27.95
|
-11.72%
|
22.95
|
-31.95
|
31.95
|
13.40%
|
|
1981
|
202.50
|
246.10
|
199.05
|
220.75
|
47.05
|
18.25
|
9.01%
|
43.60
|
-3.45
|
43.60
|
21.53%
|
|
1982
|
218.75
|
277.65
|
218.75
|
244.95
|
58.90
|
26.20
|
11.98%
|
58.90
|
0.00
|
58.90
|
26.93%
|
|
1983
|
232.00
|
247.05
|
226.75
|
235.08
|
20.30
|
3.08
|
1.33%
|
15.05
|
-5.25
|
15.05
|
6.49%
|
|
1984
|
231.45
|
249.10
|
222.70
|
247.55
|
26.40
|
16.10
|
6.96%
|
17.65
|
-8.75
|
17.65
|
7.63%
|
|
1985
|
250.10
|
263.50
|
200.80
|
202.80
|
62.70
|
-47.30
|
-18.91%
|
13.40
|
-49.30
|
49.30
|
19.71%
|
|
1986
|
200.05
|
202.70
|
152.00
|
163.25
|
50.70
|
-36.80
|
-18.40%
|
2.65
|
-48.05
|
48.05
|
24.02%
|
|
1987
|
158.05
|
159.75
|
126.85
|
127.70
|
32.90
|
-30.35
|
-19.20%
|
1.70
|
-31.20
|
31.20
|
19.74%
|
|
1988
|
120.90
|
137.30
|
120.30
|
122.80
|
17.00
|
1.90
|
1.57%
|
16.40
|
-0.60
|
16.40
|
13.56%
|
|
1989
|
124.95
|
151.90
|
123.20
|
144.30
|
28.70
|
19.35
|
15.49%
|
26.95
|
-1.75
|
26.95
|
21.57%
|
|
1990
|
143.89
|
160.40
|
123.75
|
132.20
|
36.65
|
-11.69
|
-8.12%
|
16.51
|
-20.14
|
20.14
|
14.00%
|
|
1991
|
135.13
|
142.10
|
127.29
|
129.09
|
14.81
|
-6.04
|
-4.47%
|
6.97
|
-7.84
|
7.84
|
5.80%
|
|
1992
|
124.78
|
134.95
|
118.65
|
123.95
|
16.30
|
-0.83
|
-0.67%
|
10.17
|
-6.13
|
10.17
|
8.15%
|
|
1993
|
124.83
|
126.21
|
100.25
|
109.76
|
25.96
|
-15.07
|
-12.07%
|
1.38
|
-24.58
|
24.58
|
19.69%
|
|
1994
|
111.73
|
113.65
|
96.05
|
100.26
|
17.60
|
-11.47
|
-10.27%
|
1.92
|
-15.68
|
15.68
|
14.03%
|
|
1995
|
99.60
|
104.80
|
79.75
|
101.68
|
25.05
|
2.08
|
2.09%
|
5.20
|
-19.85
|
19.85
|
19.93%
|
|
1996
|
103.41
|
114.95
|
103.07
|
113.95
|
11.88
|
10.54
|
10.19%
|
11.54
|
-0.34
|
11.54
|
11.16%
|
|
1997
|
116.02
|
131.66
|
110.51
|
130.85
|
21.15
|
14.83
|
12.78%
|
15.64
|
-5.51
|
15.64
|
13.48%
|
|
1998
|
130.49
|
147.71
|
111.65
|
116.77
|
36.06
|
-13.72
|
-10.51%
|
17.22
|
-18.84
|
18.84
|
14.44%
|
|
1999
|
113.47
|
124.82
|
101.26
|
102.19
|
23.56
|
-11.28
|
-9.94%
|
11.35
|
-12.21
|
12.21
|
10.76%
|
|
2000
|
102.14
|
115.11
|
101.39
|
114.35
|
13.72
|
12.21
|
11.95%
|
12.97
|
-0.75
|
12.97
|
12.70%
|
|
2001
|
114.41
|
132.08
|
113.54
|
131.65
|
18.54
|
17.24
|
15.07%
|
17.67
|
-0.87
|
17.67
|
15.44%
|
|
2002
|
131.72
|
135.19
|
115.48
|
118.78
|
19.71
|
-12.94
|
-9.82%
|
3.47
|
-16.24
|
16.24
|
12.33%
|
|
2003
|
118.79
|
121.92
|
106.72
|
107.23
|
15.20
|
-11.56
|
-9.73%
|
3.13
|
-12.07
|
12.07
|
10.16%
|
|
2004
|
107.23
|
114.94
|
101.81
|
102.59
|
13.13
|
-4.64
|
-4.33%
|
7.71
|
-5.42
|
7.71
|
7.19%
|
|
2005
|
102.64
|
121.42
|
101.67
|
117.75
|
19.75
|
15.11
|
14.72%
|
18.78
|
-0.97
|
18.78
|
18.30%
|
|
2006
|
117.89
|
119.87
|
108.97
|
119.02
|
10.90
|
1.13
|
0.96%
|
1.98
|
-8.92
|
8.92
|
7.57%
|
|
2007
|
118.98
|
124.13
|
107.21
|
111.91
|
16.92
|
-7.07
|
-5.94%
|
5.15
|
-11.77
|
11.77
|
9.89%
|
|
2008
|
111.69
|
111.91
|
87.13
|
90.83
|
24.78
|
-20.86
|
-18.68%
|
0.22
|
-24.56
|
24.56
|
21.99%
|
|
2009
|
91.17
|
101.43
|
84.82
|
93.09
|
16.61
|
1.92
|
2.10%
|
10.26
|
-6.35
|
10.26
|
11.25%
|
|
2010
|
92.92
|
94.98
|
80.30
|
81.13
|
14.68
|
-11.78
|
-12.68%
|
2.06
|
-12.62
|
12.62
|
13.59%
|
|
2011
|
81.11
|
85.51
|
75.57
|
76.94
|
9.94
|
-4.16
|
-5.13%
|
4.41
|
-5.54
|
5.54
|
6.83%
|
|
2012
|
77.09
|
86.66
|
76.02
|
86.65
|
10.64
|
9.56
|
12.40%
|
9.57
|
-1.07
|
9.57
|
12.41%
|
|
2013
|
86.66
|
105.41
|
86.54
|
105.25
|
18.88
|
18.59
|
21.45%
|
18.75
|
-0.12
|
18.75
|
21.64%
|
|
2014
|
105.24
|
121.84
|
100.76
|
119.79
|
21.09
|
14.56
|
13.83%
|
16.61
|
-4.48
|
16.61
|
15.78%
|
|
2015
|
120.40
|
125.85
|
115.85
|
120.28
|
10.00
|
-0.12
|
-0.10%
|
5.45
|
-4.55
|
5.45
|
4.53%
|
|
2016
|
120.20
|
121.69
|
98.90
|
116.98
|
22.79
|
-3.22
|
-2.68%
|
1.49
|
-21.30
|
21.30
|
17.72%
|